2019 Houston Open odds, predictions: Top golf picks from proven model that nailed six majors

As is often the case with fall events during the PGA Tour’s wraparound season, this week’s 2019 Houston Open field features a strong mix of major champions, proven Tour winners and rookie talent trying to make a dent early in the 2019-20 schedule. The Golf Club of Houston is the venue for the Houston Open starting Thursday, which returns to the schedule after an 18-month absence. Former FedEx Cup and Open Championship winner Henrik Stenson (11-1) is in the field this week, and he’s going off at 11-1 in the latest 2019 Houston Open odds. Others in the field include Safeway Open winner Cameron Champ (20-1), past Houston winners Jim Herman, Russell Henley, D.A. Points, Johnson Wagner, Hunter Mahan and Matt Jones, and former major champions Jimmy Walker and Jason Dufner. Before locking in any 2019 Houston Open picks of your own or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to check out the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the team at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has nailed two of the last three majors entering the weekend. It predicted Gary Woodland’s first career major championship at the U.S. Open even though he wasn’t the favorite entering the weekend. The result: Woodland held off a late charge from Brooks Koepka and won by three strokes. The model also called Koepka’s historic victory at the 2019 PGA Championship, predicting he’d hold his lead in the home stretch. In all, their advanced computer model has nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend, and anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now that the 2019 Houston Open field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. One huge shocker the model is calling for: Daniel Berger, a two-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top Vegas favorites, doesn’t even crack the top 5.

Berger has exploded out of the gates this season, finishing inside the top 25 in each of his first two starts. Last week, Berger fired four rounds in the 60s and earned a T-18 finish at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. 

Despite his strong start to the season, Berger has struggled to find consistency throughout his career. In fact, the 26-year-old finished T-49 or worse 11 times last season. Berger’s inconsistent performances can be directly attributed to his inability to find the green in regulation. Berger finished last season ranked 138th in greens in regulation percentage (65.15), which doesn’t bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard this week. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in this loaded Houston Open 2019 field.

Another surprise: Kyle Stanley, a 33-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. A two-time winner on the PGA Tour, Stanley is currently 67th in the Official World Golf Rankings. Stanley finished tied-8th in the Wells Fargo Championship last season en route to qualifying for his fourth straight playoffs. 

One of the more accurate players on Tour, Stanley hit 69.1 percent of fairways in 2018-19 – good for 19th in the stats. Winner of the 2017 Quicken Loans National and the 2012 Waste Management Phoenix Open, Stanley has earned more than $15.5 million in his nine-year career. That’s why model likes the 31-year-old Stanley as an excellent value play in his at the 2019 Houston Open, and why you should too.

Also, the model says three other golfers with odds of 33-1 or longer will make a strong run at the title, including a massive long shot with triple-digit odds. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big.

So who wins the Houston Open 2019, and which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and visit SportsLine now to see the projected 2019 Houston Open leaderboard from the model that’s nailed six golf majors, and find out. 

Henrik Stenson 11-1
Daniel Berger 20-1
Cameron Champ 20-1
Brian Harman 20-1
Jason Kokrak 25-1
Pat Perez 25-1
Scottie Scheffler 25-1
Russell Henley 33-1
Matt Jones 33-1
Russell Knox 33-1
Denny McCarthy 33-1
Sebastian Munoz 33-1
Keegan Bradley 40-1
Aaron Baddeley 50-1
Bronson Burgoon 50-1
Bud Cauley 50-1
Kevin Chappell 50-1
Harris English 50-1
Beau Hossler 50-1
Martin Laird 50-1
Luke List 50-1
Carlos Ortiz 50-1
Sam Ryder 50-1
Nick Taylor 50-1
Cameron Tringale 50-1