Manny Pacquiao and Keith Thurman have a combined 90-7-2 record with 61 career knockouts. These elite welterweight boxers are now set to collide in Las Vegas on Saturday with WBA supremacy on the line. This could be the final fight for Pacquiao, a 40-year-old legend with diverse interests ranging from politics to acting. Thurman, meanwhile, is just 30 and looking to cement himself as one of the top names in the sport. He has a 73 percent career knockout rate and will hold the advantage in height and reach. The latest Pacquiao vs. Thurman odds, however, give the edge to experience and list Pacquiao as the -145 favorite (risk $145 to win $100), with Thurman going off as the underdog at +125 (risk $100 to win $125). With so much on the line at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, be sure to see the boxing predictions from SportsLine guru Peter Kahn before locking in any Pacquiao vs. Thurman picks of your own.
A fight game veteran with over 20 years of experience as a manager, promoter and adviser, he has his finger on the pulse of what’s going on inside and outside the ring. He can be heard weekly as co-host of “The Fight Guys” podcast on the SB Nation Radio Network, and he just did a long sitdown interview with Thurman.
This is the same expert who nailed Pacquiao’s last two fights, delivering huge profits. Kahn told readers last summer to back Pacquiao at +550 to knock out Lucas Matthysse. The result: Pacquiao knocked him out in the seventh round. Then, Kahn told his followers to bet Pacquiao over Adrien Broner. Pacquiao dominated in a lopsided, unanimous decision, and anyone who followed Kahn’s lead hit it big.
For Thurman’s last fight, even though it was a mismatch versus Lopez, Kahn told readers to back the fight going the distance at +170. “After 22 months off, it doesn’t matter who you are, there’s no amount of sparring that could replace real rounds during a real fight,” Kahn wrote about Thurman’s pre-fight layoff. “It’s going to take some time for Thurman to shake off the ring rust even against a carefully selected opponent who not going to give him any trouble.” Thurman won a majority decision and Kahn’s followers scored again.
Now, Kahn has broken down Pacquiao vs. Thurman like only he can and released his best bets. You can only see them at SportsLine.
Kahn knows that entering the blockbuster bout, Thurman will look to use his size and strength as an advantage. In particular, he’ll look to keep Pacquiao at distance with his jab and dictate where the action takes place in the ring. In his last loss to Jeff Horn, Pacquiao dropped a decision because Horn used his size to become the aggressor in the fight.
“Thurman will look to mitigate Pacquiao’s activity, angles, southpaw stance and punches in bunches by keeping Pacquiao at arm’s length,” Kahn told SportsLine.
Thurman is also one of the hardest punchers in the welterweight division and has had six months off since his majority decision win over Josesito Lopez in his comeback fight. He’ll be looking to prove a point on the Las Vegas Strip and vault his name back towards the top of the welterweight division.
Kahn also knows that Pacquiao has bounced back well after falling via unanimous decision to Floyd Mayweather Jr. in 2015, taking four of five fights since. He had a surprising setback against Australia’s Jeff Horn in the summer of 2017, but one year leader took down Lucas Matthysse via technical knockout. In January, at the same MGM Grand Garden Arena ring he’ll be fighting in on Saturday, he beat Adrien Broner via unanimous decision. Pacquiao will be unfazed by the raucous crowd and worldwide stage.
While the numbers might point to Thurman in several categories, it’s tough to overstate the importance of Pacquiao’s experience in the ring. He’s been knocked out just once since 1999, so this fight has a strong chance of going the full 12 rounds. That could give Pacquio, a technical master known for his ability to pace and manage a fight, the edge if it goes to a decision.
Kahn is highly confident he has the Pacquiao vs. Thurman winner, and he also locked in a prop bet that pays 20-1. He’s sharing his confident Pacquiao vs. Thurman predictions, along with his unmatched analysis, over at SportsLine.
So who wins Pacquiao vs. Thurman? And what prop bet should you back for a 20-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see Peter Kahn’s best bets for the July 20 megafight, all from the boxing insider who’s nailed three straight Pacquiao and Thurman fights.